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Homepage Items Books Popular Science CRNI LABUD: utjecaj krajnje nevjerojatnog

CRNI LABUD: utjecaj krajnje nevjerojatnog

Code: 438837
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Published:
Country: Croatia
Language: Croatian
Binding: Paperback
Number of pages: 518
Dimensions: 20,5 cm
ISBN: 978-953-222-323-1
Price
$ 25,07

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About the Book
Što je to: 1) nepredvidljivo je, 2) ima ozbiljne posljedice, 3) nakon što se dogodi, obično možemo smisliti objašnjenje koje ga čini predvidljivijim i manje nasumičnim? To je Crni labud! Za purana (ili prasca) to je neočekivani obrat nakon višemjesečnog, iznimno ljubaznog ophođenja s njim; za Libanonce, jednako zapanjujuć zaokret kad se nakon 1300 godina sjajnog suživota zemlja pretvorila u pakao. Za nas ostale to je Google, odnosno njegov uspjeh u svijetu interneta, napad na newyorške nebodere, ekonomska kriza 2007, ostavka premijera 2009... ... a ima toga još. Svijet više nije spor i predvidljiv, više ne stanujemo u Mediokristanu. Nassim Taleb godinama je proučavao kako se zavaravamo misleći da znamo više nego što zapravo znamo, ponajviše zato što smo stvorili svijet koji više ne razumijemo. S neočekivanim pojavama u Eks-tremistanu (da, tako se zove nas današnji svyet) stvari stoje tako da malo što možemo objasniti Gaussovom krivuljom, pobjednik uzima sve, lomovi gramzivih sustava burzi, banaka i investicijskih fondova dramatično utječu na živote golemog broja ljudi... ... a ima toga još. I to su Crni labudovi. Nije ih lako predvidjeti, ali nije niti posve nemoguće. Iako vam to kažu na ovitku mnogih knjiga, ova, o kojoj se priča od Kanade do Kamčatke i koja je prilično naljutila statističare u svih tridesetak zemalja u kojima je prevedena, doista će promijeniti vaš pogled na svijet - i to ponajprije zato što nitko od nas ne želi biti puran.
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In Croatia and Slovenia delivery costs 4 € | 30,14 kn. For orders over 55 € | 414,30 kn, delivery is free. For more information about delivery costs in Croatia, as well as other countries, check our Delivery Price List.

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